Maths with Lindsay Ashford

Saturday, November 03, 2007

Lindsay Ashford of the now defunct, once had the following statistics on his "The Human Face of Pedophilia" page:

"Only 3% of people convicted of child sex offenses re-offend"

"95% of sexual offenses against children are committed by people with no prior child sex convictions"

Now, we've touched on this before, here.

Lindsay was claiming he'd gotten his statistics from the the 1994 Department of Justice report on recidivism.

We looked all over the report and we could find statistics like this:

Sex offenders were less likely than non-sex offenders to be rearrested for any offense –– 43 percent of sex offenders versus 68 percent of non-sex offenders. But sex offenders were about four times more likely than non-sex offenders to be arrested for another sex crime after their discharge from prison –– 5.3 percent of sex offenders versus 1.3 percent of non-sex offenders.

But no mention of any "95% of sexual offenses are committed by people with no prior convictions." - The reason being, that there is no such statistic - Lindsay had made it up;

What he'd done is taken the 3.5% from:

Of the released sex offenders, 3.5 percent were reconvicted for a sex crime within the 3-year follow-up period,
And in an act of pedologic at it's finest, had subtracted that from 100% that he claimed to be all sex crimes committed to get the 95%.

What the D.O.J. report shows is that 3.5% of those men re-offended, that doesn't mean they were 3.5% of all men who were convicted that year.

The fact of the matter is that a recidivism rate is completely different from the total percentage of all sexual crimes committed; Lindsay was mixing and matching statistics to paint the picture he wanted, we never figured anyone aside from the pedoheads would be desperate enough to buy into it.

Then, SO Clear proved us wrong when they released their newsletter, dated November the 5th .

Proudly bearing Lindsay Ashfords Pedologic-based Mathematics, labeling it a fact.

As for the "92% of children who are sexually abused, are molested by family members, people they know, love and trust."

The D.O.J. report says:

Except for victims under age 6, most sexual assault offenders were not family members but were otherwise known to the victim.

That means it could be anyone, Uncle Joe, Neighbor Harry, Dads Co-Worker Sam, the Brothers friend - At the end of the day, if anything this illustrates that you have the right to know whether these people have molested a child before you let them into your house.

We here at Absolute Zero encourage you not to count on Tom Madisons word for honesty when he talks about "facts," and gets them from Lindsay Ashfords website, instead we encourage you read the report here for yourself.

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